Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.987132 1.205158 1.438328 1.704127 1.996702 2.307081 2.659421
2024-10-20 0.656881 0.939660 1.267698 1.667183 2.132175 2.648993 3.259802
2024-10-27 0.563415 0.893038 1.295023 1.803223 2.412524 3.105744 3.941009
2024-11-03 0.484294 0.847616 1.311759 1.918093 2.663313 3.527379 4.584470
2024-11-10 0.425682 0.815429 1.334046 2.030315 2.903302 3.930605 5.202129
2024-11-17 0.378070 0.789526 1.358047 2.139958 3.137200 4.325349 5.810123
2024-11-24 0.318300 0.735267 1.336388 2.184910 3.286589 4.615918 6.293247
2024-12-01 0.257551 0.668535 1.289579 2.190602 3.381980 4.837900 6.692526
2024-12-08 0.190429 0.577284 1.197661 2.127632 3.383389 4.940042 6.943986
2024-12-15 0.137052 0.496953 1.112446 2.066200 3.380765 5.032641 7.180263
2024-12-22 0.099985 0.437465 1.052064 2.033798 3.411687 5.163617 7.460539
2024-12-29 0.080338 0.410012 1.040072 2.068940 3.531570 5.406457 7.878766
2025-01-05 0.057219 0.368206 1.004021 2.072992 3.617820 5.618574 8.275901
2025-01-12 0.035753 0.318726 0.948686 2.044713 3.658488 5.772644 8.602875
2025-01-19 0.034188 0.331684 1.007618 2.192856 3.945268 6.246851 9.333316
2025-01-26 0.031221 0.338504 1.054900 2.323299 4.208271 6.691599 10.028789
2025-02-02 0.028129 0.343509 1.098433 2.448039 4.463862 7.127646 10.714719
2025-02-09 0.025186 0.347796 1.140351 2.570489 4.716919 7.561461 11.399405
2025-02-16 0.018359 0.330323 1.137499 2.620429 4.866599 7.859524 11.912460
2025-02-23 0.011101 0.301775 1.108942 2.626792 4.952751 8.073159 12.318005
2025-03-02 0.004041 0.255369 1.036422 2.556697 4.925667 8.134550 12.527699
2025-03-09 0.000729 0.214234 0.967891 2.488243 4.897325 8.191589 12.729692
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.184894 0.920716 2.452099 4.913168 8.305063 13.001526